Shore Capital rates NatWest a 'buy', but upside limited

Shore Capital has reiterated its 'buy' rating on UK banking group NatWest after a forecast-beating first quarter, but said it sees the least amount of upside potential in the stock compared with the wider banking sector.

  • NATWEST GROUP
  • 26 April 2024 09:27:03
NatWest Group

Source: Sharecast

NatWest reported a pre-tax profit of £1.33bn for the first three months of the year, down 27% year-on-year but £68m ahead of consensus forecasts, representing a beat of 5%. This was due to positive changes in net interest income, impairments, and litigation and conduct charges.

Reported earnings per share of 10.5p beat consensus by 9%, tangible net asset value per share of 302p beat consensus by 9p, while reported return on tangible equity of 14.2% beat consensus by 1.3 percentage points.

However, the fact that NatWest's board has chosen to keep full-year guidance unchanged "may disappoint investors following a recent strong run in the shares", said Shore Capital analyst Gary Greenwood.

He pointed out that the stock has surged 32% so far this year – as of Thursday's closing price of 290p – outperforming the FTSE All-Share Index by 28%

Shore Capital's fair-value estimate for the shares is 315p, which implies just 9% upside from Thursday's price – though Friday morning's 3.4% gain to 299.7p reduces that somewhat.

"NatWest currently offers the least upside to fair value of the large UK banks. We retain a 'buy' recommendation for now, but we will review the appropriateness of this in light of any share price reaction and further commentary on the results call," Greenwood said.

Exchange: London Stock Exchange
Sell:
0.00
Buy:
0.00
Change: 23.19 ( 0.27 %)
Date:
Prices delayed by at least 15 minutes

Compare our accounts

If you're looking to grow your money over the longer term (5+ years), we have a range of investment choices to help.

Lloyds Bank is not responsible for the content and accuracy of the Markets News articles. We may not share the views of the author. Understand the risks, please remember the value of your investment can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invest. We don't provide advice so if you are in any doubt about buying and selling shares or making your own investment decisions we recommend you seek advice from a suitably qualified Financial Advisor. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.

Important legal information

Lloyds and Lloyds Bank are trading names of Halifax Share Dealing Limited. The Lloyds Bank Direct Investments Service is operated by Halifax Share Dealing Limited. Registered Office: Trinity Road, Halifax, West Yorkshire, HX1 2RG. Registered in England and Wales no. 3195646. Halifax Share Dealing Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, 12 Endeavour Square, London, E20 1JN under registration number 183332. A Member of the London Stock Exchange and an HM Revenue & Customs Approved ISA Manager.

Logo Allfunds

The information contained within this website is provided by Allfunds Digital, S.L.U. acting through its business division Digital Look Ltd unless otherwise stated. The information is not intended to be advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any of the shares, companies or investment vehicles mentioned, nor is it information meant to be a research recommendation. This is a solution powered by Allfunds Digital, S.L.U. acting through its business division Digital Look Ltd incorporating their prices, data news, charts, fundamentals and investor tools on this site. Terms and conditions apply. Prices and trades are provided by Allfunds Digital, S.L.U. acting through its business division Digital Look Ltd and are delayed by at least 15 minutes.

FE fundinfo Logo

Data provided by FE fundinfo. Care has been taken to ensure that the information is correct, but FE fundinfo neither warrants, represents nor guarantees the contents of information, nor does it accept any responsibility for errors, inaccuracies, omissions or any inconsistencies herein. Past performance does not predict future performance, it should not be the main or sole reason for making an investment decision. The value of investments and any income from them can fall as well as rise.

Refinitiv Logo

© 2025 Refinitiv, an LSEG business. All rights reserved.