Tribal expects to smash forecasts with 2024 results, shares jump

Tribal Group's share price surged on Friday morning after the education tech and services group delivered a bullish fourth-quarter trading update and confident outlook for 2025.

  • Tribal Group
  • 31 January 2025 08:41:49
Tribal Group

Source: Sharecast

The company said that adjusted EBITDA for 2024 would be "substantially ahead" of current market expectations, with analysts currently forecasting no change on the £14.4m made in 2023.

Annual revenues are also expected to be ahead of the £85.6m consensus forecast, which was also flat on the year before.

Tribal said that a strong performance by the software-led Student Information Systems division has offset a softening in markets for its education consultancy business, Etio.

Annual recurring revenue (ARR) of the core business was up 9% on the year before at £54.8m, and the company expects continued ARR growth in 2025.

Meanwhile, the company ended the year with net debt of just £3.2m, down from £7.2m in 2023 and well below the £9.4m expected by the market.

"I am pleased with the performance delivered in FY24 as we focus on the transformation of Tribal into a leading cloud provider to the education market. We have delivered EBITDA and revenue ahead of expectations, alongside a material reduction in our debt, all amidst a challenging market environment," said chief executive Mark Pickett.

Ahead of Tribal's full-year results at the end of March, the group revealed it would take a £1.4m write-down related to Tribal Data Engine with an alternative Tribal product proving more cost effective for customers.

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